Paper # 56. Hierarchy of Effort: Reforming Tactics, Operations, and Strategy for Advantage
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March 13, 2023
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ICSL admin
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Asia-Pacific, Eurasia, Security, Strategy
A hierarchy of effort is essential to achieving meaningful advantage in the information environment (IE). The IE’s diverse contexts are multi-domain and all-effects. Three reforms can improve tactics, operations, and strategy against human and AI competitors: Align the ends of desired cause-and-effect relationships Note: the basic strategy process consists of interactive ends (the why—goals), ways…
Paper #38. What “Talk-Fight” Ideologues Understand About Warfare: All-Domain, All-Effects in the Information Environment.
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April 19, 2021
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Leadership, Security, Strategy
Prevailing in an operational environment does not matter if one loses in the information environment. Vietnam Workers Party nationalists understood this. Taliban religious fundamentalists understand this. Why do we not, and what to do about it?
Paper #36. Commanding & Controlling the OODA Loop: Iran’s Narrative Strategy
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February 12, 2021
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Cyber, Middle East & North Africa, Strategy
This paper applies a narrative weaponization model to decision making (Observe, Orient, Decide and Act), using Iranian disinformation. Papers 23 and 24 did the same with disinformation from China and Russia. Understanding how narrative strategy works in the information environment is key to detecting and countering disinformation.
Paper #34. Cyber Security-Resilience: Compliance & Competitiveness in the Information Environment
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November 22, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Commercial, Cyber, Security, Strategy
Manipulating information over cyber networks has become a societal weapon of choice. Compared to traditional military, diplomatic and economic instruments of state power, cyber information power has competitive advantages.
Paper #28. To Defeat Disinformation, First Arm the Mind
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July 27, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Asia-Pacific, Cyber, Eurasia, Middle East & North Africa, Strategy
Disinformation is a global threat. Pervasive digitized technology and social media provide rich opportunities to distort public perceptions at scale. Authoritarians assail democracies incessantly. Comparitech recently discovered a Facebook bot farm that controls nearly 14,000 fake accounts and produces 200,000 posts per month.
Paper #26. Supply Chain Competition & Warfare II: Strategic Decisions and Integrative Options
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July 7, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Asia-Pacific, Commercial, Cyber, Eurasia, Strategy
Authoritarian states are weaponizing supply chains into all-effects warfare while democratic states compete with inferior strategies. We can be more competitive and wage superior complex warfare in kind.
Stick & Rudder #4. A Basic US Strategy Toward Russia: more than Deter & Defend
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June 4, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Americas, Eurasia, Security, Strategy
If strategy means anything, it should have definition and purpose. US strategy toward the current Russia regime, and just about any competitor, continues to be described simplistically as deter and defend.
Note #15. Tracking Chinese and Russian DisInformation: Hamilton 2.0 Reloaded
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March 31, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Asia-Pacific, Commercial, Cyber, Eurasia
This Note paraphrases today’s webinar from the Alliance for Security Democracy on Hamilton 2.0, a dashboard on Russian, and now Chinese, disinformation.
Stick & Rudder #2. A Basic US Strategy Toward the Koreas: Deterrence, Defense, Compellence & Inducement
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January 28, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Asia-Pacific, Strategy
Both North Korea and South Korea seek self-reliance and alignments with main powers. From that take-off point, I recommend this basic US strategy toward the Koreas:
Paper #16. Comparative Threats and Integrated Effects: Japan
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December 7, 2019
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Asia-Pacific, Security, Strategy
Using complex warfare concepts from Papers #13 (East Asia) and #14 (China), we apply that approach to Japanese security strategy, with comparisons to China and Russia.
Paper #8. How to Integrate National Defense & Security Strategies: A Detailed Analysis
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August 16, 2019
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Americas, Commercial, Leadership, Security, Strategy
As a detailed follow-on to The US National Security Strategy Needs Combined Effects, this paper integrates combined effects with the US National Defense Strategy (NDS), too.