Paper #44. China’s Belt and Road Initiative as Combined-Effect Strategy: How Democracies Can Compete
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July 16, 2021
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Asia-Pacific, Leadership, Security, Strategy
ICSL Paper #41 developed “concepts of influence,” a critical component to effective strategy. Concepts of influence are the ways and means that act on will and capability to bring about the ends of strategy. They may be entirely human-created or assisted or created by artificial intelligence. This paper applies concepts of influence to show how…
Paper #41. Concepts of Influence: Critical to Strategy and Human Control of Artificial Intelligence
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May 31, 2021
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Cyber, Leadership, Strategy
Strategy for dynamic end-states must be multi-dimensional to be competitive in the information environment (ICSL Note #22). If operations are not informing and influencing, they become existential rather than instrumental. They justify themselves, which makes for poor strategy. Yet strategy is the competition that matters most for relevant operations. As we consider the three basic…
Note #22. Multi-Dimensional Strategy for Dynamic End-States: A Realistic Framework, An Application from China, and Recommendations for Strategists
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May 19, 2021
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Leadership, Strategy
There is nothing static about an “end-state“ because it’s defined in terms of conditions, which are always changing. Strategy needs to be multi-dimensional to achieve, maintain and adjust an end-state vis a vis competitors trying to do the same. Multiple Dimensions Competitive strategy integrates ways and means to achieve ends in conditional end-states. If we look at…
Paper #38. What “Talk-Fight” Ideologues Understand About Warfare: All-Domain, All-Effects in the Information Environment.
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April 19, 2021
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Leadership, Security, Strategy
Prevailing in an operational environment does not matter if one loses in the information environment. Vietnam Workers Party nationalists understood this. Taliban religious fundamentalists understand this. Why do we not, and what to do about it?
Paper #37. The Strategy Cuboid: Elements, Dimensions, and Targets in the Global Information Environment
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March 26, 2021
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D, Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Cyber, Security, Strategy
The need for a comprehensive approach to strategy that’s relevant to the global information environment is made clear by recent cyber and information attacks. The Solar Winds and Hafnium attacks from US data centers occurred in a context of persistent disinformation campaigns (Russia, China). Yet the US cyber, info ops and law enforcement communities have…
Note #18. a Veterans Day Sequel to “Planning-to-Win”
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November 11, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Security, Strategy
Plan with a winning strategy. Follow through with activities to bring about superior effects. Anticipate what competitors will do. Reimagine and repeat.
Paper #33. Special Ops Command-Africa Strategy: Analysis & Recommendations (Part II)
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November 9, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Middle East & North Africa, Security, Strategy, Sub-Saharan Africa
Following our historical context review of ten African states in Part I (Paper #31), this section begins Part II with linkage analysis, focusing on strategy in Somalia.
Stick & Rudder #5. A Basic Strategy Toward China: Rules-based Competition that Cooperates & Confronts
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June 26, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Asia-Pacific, Commercial, Security, Strategy
Competing effectively with the authoritarian regime in Beijing requires a superior blend of cooperation and confrontation.
Stick & Rudder #4. A Basic US Strategy Toward Russia: more than Deter & Defend
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June 4, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Americas, Eurasia, Security, Strategy
If strategy means anything, it should have definition and purpose. US strategy toward the current Russia regime, and just about any competitor, continues to be described simplistically as deter and defend.
Paper #20. Competing with Analog Weapons in a Digital Arena? How to Gain Advantage
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February 27, 2020
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Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Commercial, Leadership, Strategy
Let’s explore how to gain advantages by comparing analog and digital characteristics of the Information Environment (IE).
Paper #19. From Jargon to Jointness: Understanding the Information Environment and its Terminology
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February 27, 2020
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Robert S. Ehlers, Jr., Ph.D., Col USAF ret. & Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen USAF ret.
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Leadership, Strategy
The Department of Defense (DoD) spends much time and effort trying to make sense of the Information Environment (IE). This effort is not new.