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Papers (> 1000 words) and Notes (< 1000 words) offer perspectives and solutions

Stick & Rudder briefs cover what needs to be done

Each contains an up-front look at Content

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Paper # 56. Hierarchy of Effort: Reforming Tactics, Operations, and Strategy for Advantage

A hierarchy of effort is essential to achieving meaningful advantage in the information environment (IE). The IE’s diverse contexts are multi-domain and all-effects. Three reforms can improve tactics, operations, and strategy against human and AI

March 13, 2023

Paper # 55. Gaining Competitive Initiative in an AI World

This paper is a follow-on to Paper #54, Operations Need Competitive Initiative in a Multi-dimensional Strategy. The focus is on operations in the information environment (IE), where AI can generate inexplicable solutions and problematic strategies. Principles,

February 1, 2023

Paper #54. Effective Ops Require Competitive Initiative in a Multi-Dimensional Strategy

The Imperative for Competitive Initiative Democracies need multi-dimensional strategies suited to the highly competitive information and AI age. There are dozens of regional and functional US national strategies, but the overarching one is the US

January 4, 2023

Paper #53. The PRC’s “One Country, Two Systems” Deception: Narrative Strategy for Information Advantage

The Peoples’ Republic of China (PRC) “One Country, Two Systems” narrative toward Taiwan out-competes the US “strategic ambiguity” and “one China” policies even though it’s false. How? The narrative operates as a strategy to gain

December 2, 2022

Note #27. Avoiding Data-Driven Disasters: Tonkin 1964 and Taiwan 2022—

Gulf of Tonkin, 1964 On 4 August 1964, data-driven decisions in an uncertain operational environment falsely assumed a North Vietnamese patrol boat attack on American destroyers in Gulf of Tonkin international waters. See Secretary of

November 12, 2022

Note #26. China’s Globally Propagated, Narrated Warfare

China uses narrative warfare as an integral part of diplomatic, informational, military, economic, and social (DIMES) combined effects to seize disputed territories. This Note explains how this strategy is globally propagated, narrated warfare. China’s Narrative

September 6, 2022

Note #25. Concepts of Influence: Vital to “Center of Gravity” Analysis

This Note synthesizes three popular approaches to “Center of Gravity” (COG) and presents Concepts of Influence (COI) as a supplement to COG analysis in the Information Environment (IE). Center of Gravity COG is variously defined

August 23, 2022

Paper #52. Beyond Doctrinal Plug-Ins: Integrate IO to Win Complex Wars

Winning complex wars requires setting more than military end states. Information-heavy complex problems (ICP’s) in hyper-connected environments can persist for generations (Ehlers and Blannin, Campaigning for Complex Problems). These problem sets require enduring social efforts and

August 15, 2022

Paper #51. We Need to Expand Our Strategy Language to Compete and Wage Warfare in the Age of AI

We need to reform our legacy language of coercion theory to compete in the Age of Artificial Intelligence. Information forces and their specialized school houses across the interagency already exceed coercion theory’s limited vocabulary of

June 30, 2022

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