Analysis & Planning

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About this Blog

Papers (> 1000 words) and Notes (< 1000 words) offer perspectives and solutions

Stick & Rudder briefs cover what needs to be done 

for Teaching & Learning posts, see Teaching

Each contains an up-front look at Contents

Note #16. Transparency Attack: Launch of the Mekong Infrastructure Tracker

The Mekong Infrastructure Tracker launched today, providing a public platform that creates transparency on nearly 4000 ongoing or planned infrastructure projects in this strategic region. The Greater Mekong River subregion includes Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand, Vietnam, and southwest China. Official China is the main threat to transparency, manipulating water levels for its own use and…

May 27, 2020
Paper #25. Supply Chain Competition: Protecting Globalization v Globalizing Protectionism

Supply chains are most efficient and vulnerable when globalized. How can we integrate them in the global information environment and protect them from discriminatory competition and outright threats?

May 20, 2020
Paper #24. Distorting the Loop: How Russia’s Narratives Reorient OODA Decisions & What to Do About It

As a follow-on to China’s strategy, we show how Russia’s use of narrative reorients decisions in an Observe-Orient-Decide-Act (OODA) Loop. The distortion of information is not just divisive. It envelops the “when-deterrence-fails” US approach to warfare.

April 23, 2020
Paper #23. Collapsing the Loop: How China’s Narrative Subverts OODA Decision-making & What to Do About It

Colonel John Boyd’s OODA Loop—Observe, Orient, Decide, and Act— is a powerful model for making decisions in contested environments. Strategic use of information can defeat it. Understanding narrative strategies can protect it.

April 13, 2020
Paper #22. War: What is it Good for?

War is an ugly thing, but not the ugliest of things: the decayed and degraded state of moral and patriotic feeling which thinks that nothing is worth a war, is much worse…

April 4, 2020
Note #15. Tracking Chinese and Russian DisInformation: Hamilton 2.0 Reloaded

This Note paraphrases today’s webinar from the Alliance for Security Democracy on Hamilton 2.0, a dashboard on Russian, and now Chinese, disinformation.

March 31, 2020
Stick & Rudder #3. An All-Effects Strategy Against COVID-19

COVID-19 is an advanced threat against humanity, requiring a broad-based combination of effects to defeat.

March 29, 2020
Note #14. Machine-learning a Video: “The Corona Virus and the Impact on the Global Supply Chain”

This Note analyzes complex linkages in a YouTube video from the MIT Center for Transportation and Logistics: The Corona Virus and the Impact on the Global Supply Chain.

March 24, 2020
Paper #21. Informatizing Operations: The Other Half of All-Domain Warfare

Warfare has become all-domain, all-effects, and all-information. This reality is thriving in a comfort zone outside our entrenched concept of a “threshold of armed conflict.”

March 23, 2020