Note #13. Waiting to Win; Being Proactive.

Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D, Brig Gen, USAF ret. Waiting to retaliate to an obvious use of force, one that fits comfortable expectations of either being at peace, or being at war, is a losing strategy by itself. If and when such an attack comes, it’s likely to be in combination with other forms of warfare. Our reality is that adversaries cooperate and confront, often at the same time.

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Paper #17. Comparative Threats and Integrated Effects in East Asia: the Koreas.

Thomas A. Drohan, Ph.D., Brig Gen, USAF (ret.) Using concepts of complex warfare from ICSL Papers #13 (East Asia), #14 (China) and #16 (Japan), this paper applies the same holistic approach to Korean security strategies in the information environment, with comparisons to strategies from China and Japan.  To discern how the Koreas wage complex warfare through cooperation and confrontation today, we consider world view, threat assessment, and combined effects strategy.  Understanding these aspects of the information environment is critical to producing superior effects—the great-results test of any power.  Korea’s World View, Threat Assessment, and Combined Effects Strategy World View Both […]

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Paper #10. Countering Russian Cyber and InfoWar.

We must also seek solutions that limit the effects of disinformation. This effort starts with leaders recognizing and publishing Russian exploits as they are discovered. Overt exposure of Russian methodology goes a long way in limiting the effectiveness of false narratives. Investigations should identify who is targeted in hacks, why they were chosen as targets, what information has been stolen, and the extent of related penetration.

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Paper # 9. The Primacy of Information Intelligence.

The question of what and whom to trust applies to all situations because uncertainty is pervasive. In the information environment (IE), the overriding context of trust is that it’s contested. Actors fight for the kind of information and people they need to compete and prevail. Four types of competition become apparent when we consider four contested purposes of strategic and anticipatory analysis:

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Paper #6. Advanced Analysis is a Mindset.

Jeffrey S. Johnson, Col USAF ret. Since 9/11 intelligence analysis and its shortcomings have been widely discussed. Military Services increased training in critical thinking and structured analytic techniques. The Army and Air Force created Advanced Analysis courses and OUSD(I) created the Information Environment Advanced Analysis course.

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