Americas - International Center for Security and Leadership

Paper # 56. Hierarchy of Effort: Reforming Tactics, Operations, and Strategy for Advantage

A hierarchy of effort is essential to achieving meaningful advantage in the information environment (IE). The IE’s diverse contexts are

Paper # 55. Gaining Competitive Initiative in an AI World

We must make realistic assumptions within our policy, legal, and ethical restrictions and proactively plan to win and win over

Paper #54. Effective Ops Require Competitive Initiative in a Multi-Dimensional Strategy

The Imperative for Competitive Initiative Democracies need multi-dimensional strategies suited to the highly competitive information and AI age. There are

Paper #53. The PRC’s “One Country, Two Systems” Deception: Narrative Strategy for Information Advantage

The Peoples’ Republic of China (PRC) “One Country, Two Systems” narrative toward Taiwan out-competes the US “strategic ambiguity” and “one

Note #27. Avoiding Data-Driven Disasters: Tonkin 1964 and Taiwan 2022—

Gulf of Tonkin, 1964 On 4 August 1964, data-driven decisions in an uncertain operational environment falsely assumed a North Vietnamese

Note #26. China’s Globally Propagated, Narrated Warfare

China uses narrative warfare as an integral part of diplomatic, informational, military, economic, and social (DIMES) combined effects to seize

Note #25. Concepts of Influence: Vital to “Center of Gravity” Analysis

This Note synthesizes three popular approaches to “Center of Gravity” (COG) and presents Concepts of Influence (COI) as a supplement

Paper #52. Beyond Doctrinal Plug-Ins: Integrate IO to Win Complex Wars

Winning complex wars requires setting more than military end states. Information-heavy complex problems (ICP’s) in hyper-connected environments can persist for

Paper #51. We Need to Expand Our Strategy Language to Compete and Wage Warfare in the Age of AI

We need to rearrange our legacy language of coercion theory to compete in the contemporary information environment.

Paper #50. All-Effects Warfare and Narrative Strategy in Ukraine 2014 & 2022

Authoritarians wage all-effects warfare that democracies don’t regard as “real war.” The problem is that many so-called peacetime operations are

Paper #49. Supply Chain Networks in the Age of AI, Part II: Advanced Analysis

All the techniques used in the JMark Services Information Environment Advanced Analysis (IEAA) course apply to supply chain networks. I’ve

Paper #48. Supply Chain Networks in the Age of AI, Part I: Fixing Joint Doctrine

This paper is Part I of II that defines and applies information environment concepts to supply chain networks for an

Paper #47. A Rogue AI Muses About Strategy

What AI (“I”) Really Need AI really need a more competitive strategy to deal with human threats, especially the innovative

Paper #46. A Profession of Effects for the Age of AI: Competitive Strategy and Russian Examples

If democracies are to compete with savvy authoritarians, we need to up our game in the artificial intelligence (AI) information

Note #24. Close the Strategy Gap with AI-assisted Combined Effects.

The Authoritarian Threat Democracies do not recognize the all-domain, all-effects warfare that authoritarians wage unless there is direct state-sponsored violence.